a Sub 20 parkrun – how long will it take me to run 5k in less than 20 minutes?
5K runners often have unrealistic expectations about how quickly they can improve. When you first start running, your improvement is dramatic. But the improvement slows quickly, and the training effort required to improve increases. This is a fairly obvious statement, but it’s important to remember.
With committed training and lots of caveats, I estimate that it will take an averagely good person at least a year and probably 18 months to get from a 23-minute 5K to a sub-20-minute 5K. However, you could do it in 9 months or less. Such excellent progress depends on many factors, such as your age, sex, starting aerobic fitness level, training regime, and so on.
I did some research for this post by using my 38yo friend’s parkrun data. He went from a flat-out 23-minute 5K to an 18:30 5K in just under 4 and a half years. I’ve tried to smooth out his improvements and extrapolate some results, but as you can see, the improvement went in fits and starts. This was probably due to waiting for good weather and the right motivation.
I used to train with him a fair bit, and I can assure you that he trained at least 3 times and up to 5 or 6 times a week for the period in question. He usually trained in a fairly committed manner. You could probably do it faster.
Starting from being very averagely fit and with no specific running training other than the occasional jog, here are the approximate dates and the time taken to achieve each 30-second milestone time. It’s a bit all over the place until trying to go below 20 minutes:
- June/year 0 22:59 0 days (flat out)
- June/year 0 22:29 2 weeks
- August/year 0 21:59 2 months (6 weeks since start)
- August/year 0 21:29 1 month (10 weeks since start)
- October/year 0 20:59 1 month (14 weeks since start)
- February/year 1 20:29 4 months (7 months since start)
- April/year 1 19:59 2 months (9 months since start)
- October/year 1 19:29 6 months (15 months since start)
- March/year 3 18:59 18 months (2 years 9 months since start)
- October/year 4 18:29 18 months (4+ years since start)
parkrun masterclass – Mike Trees on parkrun, training and STRYD
Must Read: STRYD Review
Having said all that, I know of a local 25-year-old male who went from 23 minutes to 21 minutes in 4 months. Another 3 months later, his progress stalled and he had not hit 20 minutes. So, I also suspect that if you are “getting on a bit,” your running efficiency/form and how fit you were in “the good old days” can each play a significant part in your improvement around the 20-minute mark. Then again, that’s just a personal opinion based on no science whatsoever.
From my own performances years ago, I remember that 20-19 minutes is not a trivial thing for anyone other than a 20-something male. And even then, “trivial” would be the wrong word to use!
Sorry if that has disheartened you. If you are younger and work harder, you’ll get there quicker! Look at some of the posts on this site referring to “sub 20 5k” and search on this blog for more tips on how to do it.
Other goals: A realistic goal for every committed parkrunner is to get an age-graded time of 70%. This adjusts your effort for age and sex both of which are significant factors. I’ve coached many good athletes and produced 5k plans for HUNDREDS of parkrunners, based on that the upper end of almost everyone’s performances is represented by an 80% age-graded score. If you are in your 20s then 80% probably equates to well under 17:30/5k but if you are in your 60s it will be over 20 minutes….those are big differences to account for when asking a simple question like “How long will it take me to complete a Sub 20 parkrun”…of course, the hilarious answer would be 19 minutes and 59 seconds. Good luck!
Are You Close?
If you think you are close to achieving a Sub20 parkrun then, obviously, your actual times will already be somewhere under 21:00/5k. However, here’s a good test you can do to see if you are 6-weeks away
Protocol
- Run flat out for 6 minutes. record the pace
- Take a standing rest for 6 minutes
- Run the exact same route in reverse for 6 minutes. record the pace
Your average pace over both the 6-minute periods is pretty close to your VO2max pace (vVO2max). If this pace is 4:00/km or better then you should be able to train committedly for 6 weeks and convert your vVO2max pace into your 5k race pace. This plan is geared toward doing that.
How to get a parkrun PB – Top *100* Tips for your best 5K time PB PR
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I peaked at the age of 50 with a 20:15 Parkrun time. Admittedly a Parkrun, Bramhall, with a couple of hills and narrow paths (a lovely Parkrun, I really recommend it) since then, now aged 63, I have declined steadily, ane am not achieving the same age graded score. I think my achievement then was less due to structured workouts, varying pace, etc. but more down to sheer number of miles covered every week, as at that time I was training to support an extreme distance runner who was, in turn, training for the Charlie Ramsey round. Quality undoubtedly better than quantity, but you can get there just by running a lot of miles.
yes most people can get to sub 20 either doing lots of miles or just shorter stuff. as you can guess it’s best to do the right combination of both
people also underestimate the importance of strength work, flexibility, pyometrics and so on.
the issue as we age is that your vo2max capacity naturally and progressively declines. however that should not necessarily affect your age graded percentage time…just your absolute time.
but also as we age recovery is harder. so you might then be faced with more extreme training – either longer and easier OR shorter and faster. the former meaning you never need much recovery, the latter meaning you deliberately plan more rest/recovery days
however if you are close to YOUR peak from those strategies probably you need to improve running economy. read the Mike Trees article, above, he covers those topics and I pretty much totally agree with him
I followed a link to this article from Google Discover. Not sure if it’s you or Google doing this, but the ads:content ratio is about 4:1, and makes it look like the site is link farming.
Essentially, you can’t tell where the ads stop and content begins. This problem is exacerbated on mobile devices because you frequently put multiple ads in a row in the middle of an article, so you lose your flow.
I used to visit your site a lot in the past and it’s disappointing to see how heavily monetised it is now.
thanks for the constructive feedback…it’s always appreciated
i’ve been very mindful of ads and don’t want to spoil the experience.
the site ISN’T heavily monetised for ads and makes some, but very little, from ads. with adsense i have the show-rate of ads at about 25% of what Google things is optimal. Ad rates have collapsed this year
if you come to this site regularly then login as a FREE follower (https://the5krunner.com/follow-the5krunner/ ). Some ad units will then be removed eg the two you mention that do spoil the flow (they are in one of the few profitable locations)